(Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining. The figures below show the number of voters on the certified list for the 2022 federal election. Won state majorities. There needs to be a leader who is prepared to call time on cretins. Was i not clear on who was who ?. from 2004 to 2008. I also dont understand why Neumann was demoted to the backbench, Does Albanese dislike Queensland or the MP himself? With a rare QLD leader of the ALP, I wasnt thinking 2013 was a high water mark for LNP in QLD, but it was in NSW. I predict Coalition to win 74-78 seats. Worsteling is a retail worker and research assistant currently studying psychology at the University of Queensland. The Stronger Communities Programme provides grants of between $2,500 and $20,000 for not-for-profit community organisations and local governments to deliver small capital projects that deliver social benefits and boost local community participation, including small-scale infrastructure upgrades, fit-outs and equipment purchases. Retiring MPs. ), Labor recorded two-party preferred majorities in 27 of the 34 polling places used in 2019, the Liberals polling well in the Centenary suburbs in the north of the electorate, but Labor dominant further south. Independent Oxley WD stuck in lockdown in Warringah presently mate (there are worse places to be). In the 2022 cycle, EMILYs List-endorsed candidates had big wins at every level of government. I can give you a scenario where Labor gains Higgins,Boothby,Hasluck,Pearce,Swan,LaTrobe,Chisholm,Deakin,Flinders and STILL lose the election because of their inevitable losses in QLD and NSW. It is an increasing affluent division, has a smaller margin and is similar in profile to a division like Ryan. The way St. Gladyss is going, Reid might be looking in trouble. I propose that the neighbouring Moreton would sooner fall to LNP. I agree with the Lawngnome guy in saying that this long long long thread on Oxley is a COMPLETE waste, because Milton Dick aint going nowhere. Search by state or ZIP code, Look up contributions from specific individuals, Find and contact your committee's analyst. Sensitivities which made them to receptive to the Coalition. Queanbeyan-Palerang Regional Council countback election - 7 Feb 2023 Election of one Councillor North Sydney Council (St Leonards Ward) countback election - 21 Feb 2023 Election of one Councillor 2023 NSW State election - 25 Mar 2023 Election of the 58th Parliament of NSW See all current electionsarrow_forward For voterskeyboard_arrow_right Electoral success is no determiner of ministerial competence, or successs. Dick actually believes that he is ENTITLED to receive individual special treatment !.Dick cannot accept that HE IS NOT ENTITLED. With the ballot papers already printed with the Liberal Partys name attached to Hanson, she gained a high profile and managed to win the seat with a large swing. Hanson came first on primary votes, but lost on preferences. Strengthen Medicare by making it easier to see the doctor. Mr McMillen will be pitted against Labor MP Milton Dick, who has held the seat of Oxley since 2016 and has a margin of 6.4 per cent. This election was held using instant-runoff voting . Theres supposed to be multiple electorate constituencies. Please dont . When May 21, 2022 at 8:00am - 6pm Where Australia 253 RSVPS Will you come? The composition of this population growth throughout the pandemic was not international migration, it was interstate migration from NSW and Victoria who had lept at the opportunity to make their dream move to QLD. Each nominee that registers to attend will be given 5 minutes to talk and the event will be structured as below: Light finger food will be provided at this event. Neumann is complacent and believes if he is seen in the community, then that is all he is required to do. If they would go & never return, then id be interested !. Nigeria's 2023 presidential election -- described as the nation's most hotly contested since the end of military rule in 1999 -- is taking place amid a backdrop of economic troubles and . Queensland is currently divided into 93 state electorates. 1- The Coalition could win this seat, Please do not write them off here, It could happen! The data includes swing - a comparison of the percentage of TCP votes received at the previous federal election compared to the current federal election. I have said for weeks I think Qld will be status quo (except maybe Brisbane.) Each candidate will give a short overview of their plans along with taking questions from the audience. Oxley is located in south east Queensland, and covers the south western suburbs of Brisbane. Appreciate you sharing! For all the brouhaha this will remain a Labor seat. The polls are off by 2-3% and they over estimate Labor so its much closer than you think. Javascript recommended: FEC.gov uses Javascript to provide the best possible user experience. The pandemic and its effect on Blair might feed back into the overall disillusionment in job-security and prospects. Although, these lower vaccination-rates are a lot more present in the neighbouring division of Wright. This shows concern about what is happening to that base. Oxley. Enter your address, then select 'Find' to display your results. Labor will retain Oxley despite Daniel having no polling to suggest federal LNP enjoying Campbell Newman like levels of support in 2012. Peter Dutton, as the OL, might be good for sandbagging LNP seats in QLD as hes a local and a conservative. I dont think any of the eastern states can be ignored period. When there is effectively no opposition to decisions being made, there is a growing awareness that any alternatives lie outside the duopoly. Do you want to save current progress? You can pour as much shit as you like on my politics, but accusing of being ordinary, or in some way mundane is just too much too bear. Booths have been divided into three areas. Defended the Democratic Senate majority. Booths in the City of Ipswich have been grouped as South-West. LNP only preselected their candidate Sam Biggins in late December though. Despite coming first on primary votes, Hanson lost due to the ALP and Liberal Party swapping preferences. WOW!!. This is a list of electoral division results for the 2022 Australian federal election in the state of Queensland . For this I think Coalition would have been greatly rewarded at the ballot box if all of its shine had not been since rubbed off. Election Platform 2022. That said we are already seeing a trend of independent left leaning candidates eating into LNP seats in wealthier suburbs. It was 8 points wrong, So if we apply the same 8 point error to the current polls you get 61-39. That is surprising that the odds are that wide considering the narrow margin. There are certain posters who very obviously just project their own personal biases onto entire electorates and/or do nothing but constant, thinly veiled advocacy as analysis, but given that Labors entire strategy seems to hinge on electoral Bradburyism, I dont see an easy path to victory. Neumann is one of Labors worst MPs. cheers WD, Just to clarify something. Shane Neumann went to back bench because Queensland is already over represented promoting Murray Watt in cabinet and Anika Wells outer ministry. The original Division of Oxley was established in 1901, and was abolished and replaced by the Division of Griffith in 1934. I think Oxley is a stretch, a lot of genuine battlers in this division, quite similar to Rankin in demographics and likely one of the last to leave Labors hands. However before any of your suggestion can happen. In mid 2017, the state electoral boundaries were redrawn to accommodate Queensland's growing and shifting population. We pay our respects to the people, the cultures and the elders past, present and emerging. All Rights Reserved. The ensuing by-election was won by the ALPs Les Scott. Interested in exploring whether you might be our candidate. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Even then, Id be surprised to see the Libs not shift into gear (in Blair at least) as election day nears. Cant see any likely scenario where Labor loses Blair. The Most Interesting Articles, Mysteries and Discoveries. The Liberal Party preselected former Ipswich councillor Pauline Hanson as their candidate in 1996. If Labor want to turn their fortunes around, they may do well to parachute someone with leadership potential into this seat (someone much more compelling than Chalmers). Develop Dont be fooled because Albanese has absolutely no appeal up here. After Bob Hawkes win, Hayden was appointed Foreign Minister. The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two areas, polling 58.3% in the south-west and 67.3% in the south-east. Political Nightwatchman All the declared nominees have been invited to come along to this event to provide a brief overview of themselves and why you should vote for them. Governments generally do reward states for how many seats they get with ministries. Liberal candidate Cameron Thompson came third on primary votes, but overtook the ALP on Nationals preferences and then overtook Hanson on Labor preferences. House of Representatives Standing: Tax and Revenue served from 15.9.2016 to 11.4.2019; Procedure served from 10.10.2016 to 11.4.2022; Health, Aged Care and Sport served from 22.7.2019 to 11.4.2022; Appropriations and Administration served as Chair from 26.7.2022 to present; Selection served as Chair from 26.7.2022 to present, Joint Select: Royal Commission into Institutional Responses to Child Sexual Abuse served from 7.12.2017 to 2.4.2019; Implementation of the National Redress Scheme served from 24.10.2019 to 11.4.2022, Joint Standing: Electoral Matters served from 15.9.2016 to 11.4.2022, Joint Statutory: Broadcasting of Parliamentary Proceedings served as Chair from 26.7.2022 to present. He has little brother syndrome . For the WA seats, I doubt that Moore or Canning would fall since Labor would probably reduce their resources spent in WA and focus their efforts into sandbagging Sam Lim in Tangney and Dutton will certainly do whatever he can to save his factional allies Ian Goodenough and Andrew Hastie. from 2000 to 2004. Neumann did end up weathering the storm but it put this seat on notice. John Oxley, the division's namesake The current division is the second to bear the name, and was created in 1949. Media incorrectly claims there are no Labor Marginals in the state when this actually still is marginal (5.3%). Secretary of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) (EDGAR Online via COMTEX) -- false 0001326110 0001326110 2023-02-15 2023-02-15 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, DC 20549 FORM 8-K. Also may I point out here 7/10 people have never heard of him either. I would point to divisions like Chisholm or Bennelong as similar divisions in other states which are viable for the Coalition with an established Chinese Australian community. Each candidate will give a. I doubt theyd lose seats to the UAP/PHON anyway. Chris Green's campaign was due to be launched on Sunday by Liberal frontbencher Amanda Stoker on Sunday. Found this interesting; repealing Sarbanes-Oxley, SOX, is on the official party platform for TX Republicans . information from their registration forms and may be running in different districts than in the past. Both of these industries were heavily unionised throughout much of the 20th century, the strong connection between Labor and the unions was a healthy pipeline of votes directly to Labor from their blue-collar base. The Regional population 2020 2021 Financial Year report, released this week, highlights Ripley, in Blairs south, growing by 19.4% an estimated 1,889 additional residents in a pandemic year. Kathleen Irene (Oxley) Wiggins. Tournament DriveBrookwater, Queensland, Australia. Labor pushing the manufacturing of trains locally is partly a play at its old blue collar base on a seat like this. It includes all of the Inala housing estate and the nearby newer estates of Forest Lake and Springfield, as well as the Centenary Suburbs of Middle Park, Mount Ommaney, Jindalee and Sinnamon Park. Leave Winediamond out of it we have the same local polling booth and he thinks Zimmerman is a waste of space so thats good enough for me. Hayden faced a leadership threat from former ACTU president Bob Hawke, who had entered Parliament in 1980. Oxley in 1996 was a very different seat.it was basically what Blair is now. Oxley was won by Labor's Bernie Ripoll in 1998, succeeded by current MP Milton Dick in 2016. the coalition are winning 90+ seats they might come close to 100. Although as the pandemic fades into a lot of peoples rear-vision mirror, this Labor shine is also starting to fade. When May 21, 2022 at 8:00am - 6pm Where Australia 253 RSVPS will you come preselected. That is all he is required to do 2022 at 8:00am - 6pm Where Australia 253 RSVPS will come. The way St. Gladyss is going, Reid might be good for sandbagging LNP seats wealthier... Division like Ryan below show the number of voters on the official Party platform for TX Republicans get ministries... Their candidate Sam Biggins in late December though the Coalition could win this seat, Please do write. At 8:00am - 6pm Where Australia 253 RSVPS will you come remain a Labor seat on was... Recommended: FEC.gov uses javascript to provide the best possible user experience will retain Oxley Daniel. Not ENTITLED 5.3 % ) division of Wright or the MP himself and covers the south western suburbs of.... Into a lot more present in the 2022 Australian federal election in the state electoral were! To receptive to the UAP/PHON anyway by state or ZIP code, Look up contributions from specific,! 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